Friday, July 16, 2010

FANTASY ANALYSIS: Oakland Raiders


The Oakland Raiders really don't have much to offer in terms of fantasy production. They have a mediocre starting quarterback, unproven wide receivers, and their backs share carries. They do have a bright spot on at tight end with Zach Miller.

Miller has Pro Bowl skill, and on a high powered offense, he'd finish in the top 3 for TE's year in, year out. But alas, he's stuck playing on the Raiders. He's a big target with soft hands, and makes the best of his opportunities in the passing game. He's only 25 years old and has seen his numbers steadily increase each year he's been in the league. Jason Campbell has always been kind to his tight ends, so expect Zach Millers production to moderately improve as well. He's a solid fantasy starting tight end that you should be able to grab extremely late; he's roughly the 10th tight end taken in most drafts.
- Projections: 75 receptions, 900 receiving yards, and 5 TD's.

Chaz Schilens is an interesting late round sleeper at wide receiver. He possesses an elite combination of size and speed, similar to Andre Johnson, but he isn't nearly as polished. His route-running and his hands need work, but he is rising up the depth chart. He would make for an interesting play in a deep, keeper league as your 5th or 6th wide receiver. His 2009 stats won't impress many people, but he only played in the last half of the season, and ended the season with an 8 catch, 99 yard performance.
- Projections: 55 receptions, 720 yards, and 5 TD's.

The only other offensive player worth looking at on the Raiders is runningback Michael Bush. Unlike his overpaid, over-hyped cohort Darren McFadden, Bush is productive with the ball, patient in the running lanes, and is careful with the football. He will get their goal line carries and should be their 1st and 2nd down back. It won't take long for Oakland to realize that Michael Bush is the real deal and feed him the ball accordingly. I anticipate a 225+ carry season for the battering ram.
- Projections: 1,000 rushing yards, 7 TDs, 25 receptions, and 150 receiving yards.

On the IDP (independent defensive player) side of things, the most gifted player is Nnamdi Asamugha. But opponents gameplan around avoiding Nnamdi, so his statistics don't portray his performance. He'll be productive, just not in the fantasy realm. The only defensive player worth taking is rookie Rolando McClain. He possesses an ideal combination of strength, speed, talent, and instincts. He's also coming in to play Kirk Morrison's position on defense, so expect him to see a lot of the action, just as Morrison did.
- Projections: 100 solo tackles, 30 assisted tackles, 3 sacks, and 1 INT.

5 comments:

  1. I like the analysis on Miller. Big target, and he even has good speed for a tight end, but top 3 for tight end in a high powered offense might be a stretch. Still like him as a starting TE to grab late though.

    Schilens is a project right now. He is still learning to play in the NFL and his talent is very raw. If he makes some strides this year he could be a steal for upcoming seasons.

    Asamugha doesn't get enough looks to warrant being pick but I like McClain a lot. Your projection is probably right on and he has the speed to get another pick or two.

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  2. If Zach Miller played for the Dallas Cowboys, Indianapolis Colts, San Diego Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles, or Green Bay Packers, he would easily put up top 3 numbers. His numbers are a product of his offense's ineptitude rather than his individual talent.

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  3. I agree his low numbers are because the Raiders suck but I can't put him ahead of Gates, Clark, or Witten. I would even put Celek and Davis ahead of him as well.

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  4. So if Dallas Clark retired, and Zach Miller was traded to Indianapolis... he wouldn't finish in the top 3?

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  5. Ok then maybe, don't see that happening.

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